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Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...? Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? Largest Company end of December 2026? Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 Where will Maxx Crosby play in 2026? Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban) Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Iran leadership change by...? When will Bitcoin hit $150k? Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...? Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Forecasts closed Polymarket

UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Top outcomes

Ben McAdams 98%
Nate Blouin 0%
Brian King 0%
Kael Weston 0%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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$217K Vol. Closed Jun 23, 2026

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$217.5k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$217K Vol.

Ben McAdams

98% market probability

98%
Yes 98% +2 / −98 No 2% +98 / −2

Nate Blouin

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Brian King

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Kael Weston

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Jenny Wilson

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Liban Mohamed

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Luz Escamilla

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Kathleen Riebe

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Caroline Gleich

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Erin Mendenhall

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Michael Farrell

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100
Forecasts are closed because this market is no longer accepting forecasts.

Public forecast history

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No forecasts were placed before this market closed.