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US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Women's Singles)
Top outcomes
Aryna Sabalenka
36%
Iga Swiatek
26%
Coco Gauff
24%
Jessica Pegula
19%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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$15K Vol.
Closes Sep 11, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$15.0k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$15K Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
36% market probability
36%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 36%
+64 / −36
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 64%
+36 / −64
Iga Swiatek
26% market probability
26%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 26%
+74 / −26
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 74%
+26 / −74
Explain your Yes on Iga Swiatek
Explain your No on Iga Swiatek
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Coco Gauff
24% market probability
24%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 24%
+76 / −24
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 76%
+24 / −76
Explain your Yes on Coco Gauff
Explain your No on Coco Gauff
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Jessica Pegula
19% market probability
19%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 19%
+81 / −19
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 81%
+19 / −81
Explain your Yes on Jessica Pegula
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Mirra Andreeva
12% market probability
12%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 12%
+88 / −12
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 88%
+12 / −88
Explain your Yes on Mirra Andreeva
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Naomi Osaka
11% market probability
11%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 11%
+89 / −11
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 89%
+11 / −89
Explain your Yes on Naomi Osaka
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Marta Kostyuk
10% market probability
10%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 90%
+10 / −90
Explain your Yes on Marta Kostyuk
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Elena Rybakina
10% market probability
10%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 90%
+10 / −90
Explain your Yes on Elena Rybakina
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Amanda Anisimova
8% market probability
8%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 92%
+8 / −92
Explain your Yes on Amanda Anisimova
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Linda Noskova
7% market probability
7%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 7%
+93 / −7
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 93%
+7 / −93
Explain your Yes on Linda Noskova
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Karolina Muchova
7% market probability
7%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 7%
+93 / −7
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 93%
+7 / −93
Explain your Yes on Karolina Muchova
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0 / 2,000
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Alexandra Eala
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on Alexandra Eala
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0 / 2,000
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Madison Keys
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Madison Keys
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Elina Svitolina
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Elina Svitolina
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Iva Jovic
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Iva Jovic
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Emma Navarro
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Emma Navarro
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Belinda Bencic
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Ekaterina Alexandrova
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Ekaterina Alexandrova
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Elise Mertens
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Elise Mertens
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Jasmine Paolini
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Jasmine Paolini
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Maria Sakkari
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Maria Sakkari
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Anna Kalinskaya
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Anna Kalinskaya
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Sloane Stephens
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Sloane Stephens
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0 / 2,000
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Leylah Fernandez
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Leylah Fernandez
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Anastasia Potapova
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Anastasia Potapova
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Thea Frodin
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Thea Frodin
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Taylah Preston
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Taylah Preston
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0 / 2,000
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Reese Brantmeier
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Reese Brantmeier
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Jelena Ostapenko
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Jelena Ostapenko
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Diana Shnaider
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Diana Shnaider
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0 / 2,000
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Sofia Kenin
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Sofia Kenin
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0 / 2,000
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Leolia Jeanjean
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-31']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-31']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Leolia Jeanjean
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Marie Bouzkova
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-32']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-32']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Marie Bouzkova
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Sorana Cirstea
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-33']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-33']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Sorana Cirstea
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Ann Li
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-34']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-34']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Ann Li
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Sara Bejlek
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-35']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-35']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Sara Bejlek
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Venus Williams
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-36']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-36']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Venus Williams
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Maja Chwalinska
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-37']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-37']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Maja Chwalinska
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Barbora Krejcikova
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-38']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-38']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Barbora Krejcikova
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Carol Young Suh Lee
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-39']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-39']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Carol Young Suh Lee
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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