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US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Men's Singles)

Top outcomes

Alexander Zverev 57%
Carlos Alcaraz 52%
Alex de Minaur 50%
Tommy Paul 50%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

$18K Vol. Closes Sep 10, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$18.5k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$18K Vol.

Alexander Zverev

57% market probability

57%

Explain your Yes on Alexander Zverev Explain your No on Alexander Zverev (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Carlos Alcaraz

52% market probability

52%

Explain your Yes on Carlos Alcaraz Explain your No on Carlos Alcaraz (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Alex de Minaur

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Tommy Paul

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Valentin Vacherot

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Brandon Nakashima

49% market probability

49%

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0 / 2,000

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Frances Tiafoe

46% market probability

46%

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0 / 2,000

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Flavio Cobolli

45% market probability

45%

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0 / 2,000

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Lorenzo Musetti

45% market probability

45%

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0 / 2,000

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Jakub Mensik

44% market probability

44%

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0 / 2,000

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Taylor Fritz

28% market probability

28%

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0 / 2,000

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Daniil Medvedev

24% market probability

24%

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0 / 2,000

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Rafael Jodar

24% market probability

24%

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0 / 2,000

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Ben Shelton

24% market probability

24%

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0 / 2,000

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Luciano Darderi

24% market probability

24%

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0 / 2,000

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Felix Auger-Aliassime

22% market probability

22%

Explain your Yes on Felix Auger-Aliassime Explain your No on Felix Auger-Aliassime (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Alexander Bublik

8% market probability

8%

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0 / 2,000

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Francisco Cerundolo

6% market probability

6%

Explain your Yes on Francisco Cerundolo Explain your No on Francisco Cerundolo (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Jiri Lehecka

5% market probability

5%

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0 / 2,000

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Andrey Rublev

5% market probability

5%

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0 / 2,000

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Learner Tien

4% market probability

4%

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0 / 2,000

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Alejandro Tabilo

4% market probability

4%

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0 / 2,000

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Michael Zheng

4% market probability

4%

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0 / 2,000

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Arthur Rinderknech

4% market probability

4%

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0 / 2,000

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Dane Sweeny

4% market probability

4%

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0 / 2,000

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Zizou Bergs

4% market probability

4%

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0 / 2,000

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Filip Misolic

4% market probability

4%

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0 / 2,000

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Darwin Blanch

4% market probability

4%

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0 / 2,000

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Carlos Taberner

4% market probability

4%

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0 / 2,000

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Tomas Martin Etcheverry

4% market probability

4%

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0 / 2,000

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Sebastian Gorzny

3% market probability

3%

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0 / 2,000

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Alexander Blockx

2% market probability

2%

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0 / 2,000

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Thanasi Kokkinakis

2% market probability

2%

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0 / 2,000

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Gael Monfils

2% market probability

2%

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0 / 2,000

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J.J. Wolf

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Arthur Fils

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Casper Ruud

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Ugo Humbert

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Jack Kennedy

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Joao Fonseca

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Cameron Norrie

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Juncheng Shang

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Novak Djokovic

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Patrick Kypson

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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