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US Open 2026: To Reach Quarterfinals (Women's Singles)
Top outcomes
Aryna Sabalenka
66%
Coco Gauff
58%
Iga Swiatek
56%
Elina Svitolina
52%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Quarterfinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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$42K Vol.
Closes Sep 9, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$41.7k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$42K Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
66% market probability
66%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 66%
+34 / −66
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 34%
+66 / −34
Coco Gauff
58% market probability
58%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 58%
+42 / −58
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 42%
+58 / −42
Explain your Yes on Coco Gauff
Explain your No on Coco Gauff
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Iga Swiatek
56% market probability
56%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 56%
+44 / −56
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 44%
+56 / −44
Explain your Yes on Iga Swiatek
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Elina Svitolina
52% market probability
52%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 52%
+48 / −52
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 48%
+52 / −48
Explain your Yes on Elina Svitolina
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0 / 2,000
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Mirra Andreeva
51% market probability
51%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 51%
+49 / −51
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 49%
+51 / −49
Explain your Yes on Mirra Andreeva
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0 / 2,000
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Sorana Cirstea
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Sorana Cirstea
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Madison Keys
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Madison Keys
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Jessica Pegula
42% market probability
42%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 42%
+58 / −42
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 58%
+42 / −58
Explain your Yes on Jessica Pegula
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Amanda Anisimova
40% market probability
40%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 40%
+60 / −40
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 60%
+40 / −60
Explain your Yes on Amanda Anisimova
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0 / 2,000
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Naomi Osaka
33% market probability
33%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 33%
+67 / −33
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 67%
+33 / −67
Explain your Yes on Naomi Osaka
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0 / 2,000
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Jasmine Paolini
30% market probability
30%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 30%
+70 / −30
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 70%
+30 / −70
Explain your Yes on Jasmine Paolini
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0 / 2,000
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Marta Kostyuk
28% market probability
28%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 28%
+72 / −28
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 72%
+28 / −72
Explain your Yes on Marta Kostyuk
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0 / 2,000
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Karolina Muchova
28% market probability
28%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 28%
+72 / −28
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 72%
+28 / −72
Explain your Yes on Karolina Muchova
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0 / 2,000
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Sofia Kenin
27% market probability
27%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 27%
+73 / −27
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 73%
+27 / −73
Explain your Yes on Sofia Kenin
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Leolia Jeanjean
26% market probability
26%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 26%
+74 / −26
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 74%
+26 / −74
Explain your Yes on Leolia Jeanjean
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0 / 2,000
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Iva Jovic
24% market probability
24%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 24%
+76 / −24
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 76%
+24 / −76
Explain your Yes on Iva Jovic
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0 / 2,000
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Elise Mertens
24% market probability
24%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 24%
+76 / −24
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 76%
+24 / −76
Explain your Yes on Elise Mertens
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0 / 2,000
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Linda Noskova
24% market probability
24%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 24%
+76 / −24
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 76%
+24 / −76
Explain your Yes on Linda Noskova
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0 / 2,000
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Maria Sakkari
24% market probability
24%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 24%
+76 / −24
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 76%
+24 / −76
Explain your Yes on Maria Sakkari
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0 / 2,000
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Belinda Bencic
24% market probability
24%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 24%
+76 / −24
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 76%
+24 / −76
Explain your Yes on Belinda Bencic
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0 / 2,000
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Anna Kalinskaya
24% market probability
24%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 24%
+76 / −24
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 76%
+24 / −76
Explain your Yes on Anna Kalinskaya
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0 / 2,000
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Jelena Ostapenko
24% market probability
24%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 24%
+76 / −24
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 76%
+24 / −76
Explain your Yes on Jelena Ostapenko
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0 / 2,000
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Leylah Fernandez
24% market probability
24%
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
Yes 24%
+76 / −24
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
No 76%
+24 / −76
Explain your Yes on Leylah Fernandez
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0 / 2,000
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Ekaterina Alexandrova
24% market probability
24%
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
Yes 24%
+76 / −24
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
No 76%
+24 / −76
Explain your Yes on Ekaterina Alexandrova
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0 / 2,000
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Elena Rybakina
24% market probability
24%
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
Yes 24%
+76 / −24
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
No 76%
+24 / −76
Explain your Yes on Elena Rybakina
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0 / 2,000
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Reese Brantmeier
24% market probability
24%
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
Yes 24%
+76 / −24
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
No 76%
+24 / −76
Explain your Yes on Reese Brantmeier
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0 / 2,000
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Alexandra Eala
23% market probability
23%
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
Yes 23%
+77 / −23
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
No 77%
+23 / −77
Explain your Yes on Alexandra Eala
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0 / 2,000
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Emma Navarro
16% market probability
16%
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
Yes 16%
+84 / −16
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
No 84%
+16 / −84
Explain your Yes on Emma Navarro
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0 / 2,000
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Diana Shnaider
14% market probability
14%
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
Yes 14%
+86 / −14
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
No 86%
+14 / −86
Explain your Yes on Diana Shnaider
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0 / 2,000
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Anastasia Potapova
8% market probability
8%
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
No 92%
+8 / −92
Explain your Yes on Anastasia Potapova
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0 / 2,000
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Ann Li
5% market probability
5%
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
No 95%
+5 / −95
Explain your Yes on Ann Li
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0 / 2,000
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Taylah Preston
5% market probability
5%
$refs['reasoning-31']?.focus())"
>
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
$refs['reasoning-31']?.focus())"
>
No 95%
+5 / −95
Explain your Yes on Taylah Preston
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0 / 2,000
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Sloane Stephens
5% market probability
5%
$refs['reasoning-32']?.focus())"
>
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
$refs['reasoning-32']?.focus())"
>
No 95%
+5 / −95
Explain your Yes on Sloane Stephens
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0 / 2,000
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Marie Bouzkova
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-33']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-33']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Marie Bouzkova
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0 / 2,000
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Thea Frodin
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-34']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-34']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Thea Frodin
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0 / 2,000
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Sara Bejlek
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-35']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-35']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Sara Bejlek
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0 / 2,000
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Venus Williams
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-36']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-36']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Venus Williams
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0 / 2,000
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Maja Chwalinska
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-37']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-37']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Maja Chwalinska
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Barbora Krejcikova
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-38']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-38']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Barbora Krejcikova
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Carol Young Suh Lee
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-39']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-39']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Carol Young Suh Lee
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0 / 2,000
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