Open Crypto Polymarket

Tread FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Top outcomes

$5M 93%
$20M 72%
$40M 46%
$100M 30%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Tread's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Tread will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Tread (https://x.com/tread_fi) doesn't launch a token by January 1, 2028, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

$151K Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2028

Live Polymarket Chart

Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

Open on Polymarket ↗

The chart is view-only. Use Open on Polymarket above to visit the market — no trading on this platform.

$150.7k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$151K Vol.

$5M

93% market probability

93%

Explain your Yes on $5M Explain your No on $5M (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$20M

72% market probability

72%

Explain your Yes on $20M Explain your No on $20M (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$40M

46% market probability

46%

Explain your Yes on $40M Explain your No on $40M (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$100M

30% market probability

30%

Explain your Yes on $100M Explain your No on $100M (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$80M

28% market probability

28%

Explain your Yes on $80M Explain your No on $80M (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$150M

12% market probability

12%

Explain your Yes on $150M Explain your No on $150M (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$200M

7% market probability

7%

Explain your Yes on $200M Explain your No on $200M (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$300M

3% market probability

3%

Explain your Yes on $300M Explain your No on $300M (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$400M

2% market probability

2%

Explain your Yes on $400M Explain your No on $400M (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$500M

2% market probability

2%

Explain your Yes on $500M Explain your No on $500M (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Public forecast history

All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.

No forecasts yet. Be the first to place one.