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Tread FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Top outcomes

$40M 48%
$80M 32%
$100M 22%
$150M 10%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Tread's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Tread will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Tread (https://x.com/tread_fi) doesn't launch a token by January 1, 2028, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

$83K Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2028

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$82.8k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$83K Vol.

$40M

48% market probability

48%

Explain your Yes on $40M Explain your No on $40M (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$80M

32% market probability

32%

Explain your Yes on $80M Explain your No on $80M (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$100M

22% market probability

22%

Explain your Yes on $100M Explain your No on $100M (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$150M

10% market probability

10%

Explain your Yes on $150M Explain your No on $150M (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$200M

8% market probability

8%

Explain your Yes on $200M Explain your No on $200M (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$400M

5% market probability

5%

Explain your Yes on $400M Explain your No on $400M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$300M

4% market probability

4%

Explain your Yes on $300M Explain your No on $300M (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$500M

3% market probability

3%

Explain your Yes on $500M Explain your No on $500M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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