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Polymarket
Tour De France 2026: Winner
Top outcomes
Tadej Pogačar
96%
Other
50%
Cyclist A
50%
Cyclist B
50%
This market will resolve to the cyclist that wins the 2026 Tour De France scheduled for July 4, 2026 through July 26, 2026.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed cyclist to win the 2026 Men Elite at the Tour De France per the rules of the UCI, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Tour De France is cancelled, or postponed after August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UCI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$752.6k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$753K Vol.
Tadej Pogačar
96% market probability
96%
Yes 96%
+4 / −96
No 5%
+95 / −5
Other
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist A
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist B
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist C
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist D
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist E
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist F
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist G
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist H
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist I
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist J
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist K
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist L
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist M
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist N
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist O
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist P
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist Q
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist R
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist S
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist T
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist U
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist V
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist W
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist X
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist Y
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist Z
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist AA
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist AB
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist AC
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist AD
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist AE
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist AF
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist AG
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist AH
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist AI
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist AJ
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist AK
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist AL
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist AM
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist AN
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist AO
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist AP
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist AQ
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist AR
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist AS
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist AT
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist AU
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist AV
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist AW
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist AX
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist AY
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist AZ
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist BA
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist BB
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist BC
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist BD
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist BE
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist BF
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist BG
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist BH
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist BI
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist BJ
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist BK
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist BL
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist BM
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist BN
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist BO
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist BP
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist BQ
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist BR
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist BS
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist BT
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist BU
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist BV
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist BW
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist BX
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist BY
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist BZ
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist CA
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Cyclist CB
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Jonas Vingegaard
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Isaac del Toro
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Paul Seixas
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Remco Evenepoel
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Florian Lipowitz
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Ben Healy
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Sepp Kuss
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Adam Yates
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Juan Ayuso
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Luke Plapp
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Egan Bernal
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Jai Hindley
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Tom Pidcock
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Ben O'Connor
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Antonio Tiberi
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Derek Gee-West
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Lenny Martinez
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Michael Storer
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Warren Barguil
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Brandon McNulty
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Ilan Van Wilder
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Richard Carapaz
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Thymen Arensman
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Kévin Vauquelin
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Matteo Jorgenson
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Cian Uijtdebroeks
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Mattias Skjelmose
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Matthew Riccitello
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Lennert Van Eetvelt
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Valentin Paret-Peintre
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Tobias Halland Johannessen
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Public forecast history
All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.
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