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Polymarket
# of views of MrBeast Gaming video week 1?
Top outcomes
<38M
86%
38-40M
12%
40-42M
4%
42-44M
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast Gaming gets in the first 168 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 168 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast Gaming's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeastGaming), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "World's Largest Minecraft Build!", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dy06SXknr_g. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
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$19K Vol.
Closes Sep 5, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$19.1k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$19K Vol.
<38M
86% market probability
86%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 86%
+14 / −86
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 15%
+85 / −15
38-40M
12% market probability
12%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 12%
+88 / −12
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 88%
+12 / −88
Explain your Yes on 38-40M
Explain your No on 38-40M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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40-42M
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on 40-42M
Explain your No on 40-42M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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42-44M
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on 42-44M
Explain your No on 42-44M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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44-46M
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 44-46M
Explain your No on 44-46M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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52M+
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 52M+
Explain your No on 52M+
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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46-48M
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 46-48M
Explain your No on 46-48M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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48-50M
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 48-50M
Explain your No on 48-50M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
50-52M
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 50-52M
Explain your No on 50-52M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
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