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Next UK Culture Secretary in 2026?
Top outcomes
Other
50%
Person J
50%
Person K
50%
Person L
50%
This market will resolve to the individual who is officially appointed as the next Secretary of State for Culture, Media and Sport of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Secretary of State for Culture, Media and Sport will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary of State for Culture, Media and Sport is appointed, or Lisa Nandy is re-appointed as Secretary of State for Culture, Media and Sport, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Culture Secretary in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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$59K Vol.
Closes Dec 31, 2026
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$59.2k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$59K Vol.
Other
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person J
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person K
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person L
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person M
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person N
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person O
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person P
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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0 / 2,000
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Person Q
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person R
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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0 / 2,000
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Person S
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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0 / 2,000
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Person T
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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0 / 2,000
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Person U
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person V
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person W
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person X
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person Y
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person Y
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0 / 2,000
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Person Z
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Anneliese Midgley
35% market probability
35%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 35%
+65 / −35
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 65%
+35 / −65
Explain your Yes on Anneliese Midgley
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Stephanie Peacock
26% market probability
26%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 26%
+74 / −26
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 74%
+26 / −74
Explain your Yes on Stephanie Peacock
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Peter Kyle
25% market probability
25%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 25%
+75 / −25
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 75%
+25 / −75
Explain your Yes on Peter Kyle
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0 / 2,000
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Bridget Phillipson
25% market probability
25%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 25%
+75 / −25
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 75%
+25 / −75
Explain your Yes on Bridget Phillipson
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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David Lammy
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on David Lammy
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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No next Culture Secretary in 2026
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on No next Culture Secretary in 2026
Explain your No on No next Culture Secretary in 2026
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Louise Haigh
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Louise Haigh
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0 / 2,000
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Lucy Powell
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Lucy Powell
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Wes Streeting
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Wes Streeting
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Rachel Reeves
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Rachel Reeves
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Angela Rayner
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Angela Rayner
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Liz Kendall
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Liz Kendall
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0 / 2,000
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Emma Reynolds
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Emma Reynolds
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Heidi Alexander
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-31']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-31']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Heidi Alexander
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Darren Jones
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-32']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-32']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Darren Jones
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0 / 2,000
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