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Pop Culture
Polymarket
Next James Bond actor?
Top outcomes
Jack Lowden
23%
No Bond chosen
21%
Jack Barton
19%
Callum Turner
18%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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$556K Vol.
Closes Dec 31, 2026
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$556.1k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$556K Vol.
Jack Lowden
23% market probability
23%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 23%
+77 / −23
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 77%
+23 / −77
No Bond chosen
21% market probability
21%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 21%
+79 / −21
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 79%
+21 / −79
Explain your Yes on No Bond chosen
Explain your No on No Bond chosen
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Jack Barton
19% market probability
19%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 19%
+81 / −19
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 81%
+19 / −81
Explain your Yes on Jack Barton
Explain your No on Jack Barton
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Callum Turner
18% market probability
18%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 18%
+82 / −18
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 82%
+18 / −82
Explain your Yes on Callum Turner
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Jacob Elordi
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on Jacob Elordi
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Harris Dickinson
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Harris Dickinson
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Jack O'Connell
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Jack O'Connell
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Theo James
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Theo James
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Paul Mescal
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Paul Mescal
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Aaron Taylor-Johnson
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Aaron Taylor-Johnson
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Tom Blyth
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Tom Blyth
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Tom Francis
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Tom Francis
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Josh O'Connor
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Josh O'Connor
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Robert James-Collier
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Robert James-Collier
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Tom Hardy
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Tom Hardy
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Tom Holland
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Tom Holland
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Henry Cavill
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Henry Cavill
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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James Norton
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on James Norton
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Richard Madden
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Richard Madden
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Timothee Chalamet
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Timothee Chalamet
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Michael B Jordan
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Michael B Jordan
Explain your No on Michael B Jordan
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Pierce Brosnan
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Pierce Brosnan
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Jonathan Bailey
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Jonathan Bailey
Explain your No on Jonathan Bailey
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Nicholas Galitzine
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Nicholas Galitzine
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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