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Polymarket
Next James Bond actor?
Top outcomes
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
41%
Callum Turner
32%
Jack Lowdon
21%
James Norton
8%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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$10K Vol.
Closes Dec 31, 2026
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$10.0k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$10K Vol.
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
41% market probability
41%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 41%
+59 / −41
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 59%
+41 / −59
Callum Turner
32% market probability
32%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 32%
+68 / −32
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 68%
+32 / −68
Explain your Yes on Callum Turner
Explain your No on Callum Turner
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Jack Lowdon
21% market probability
21%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 21%
+79 / −21
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 79%
+21 / −79
Explain your Yes on Jack Lowdon
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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James Norton
8% market probability
8%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 92%
+8 / −92
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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No Bond chosen
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
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0 / 2,000
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Michael B Jordan
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Michael B Jordan
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Theo James
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Theo James
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Robert James-Collier
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Robert James-Collier
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Tom Holland
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Tom Holland
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Pierce Brosnan
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Pierce Brosnan
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Paul Mescal
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Paul Mescal
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0 / 2,000
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Josh O'Connor
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Josh O'Connor
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0 / 2,000
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Henry Cavill
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Henry Cavill
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Jacob Elordi
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Timothee Chalamet
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Timothee Chalamet
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Harris Dickinson
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Harris Dickinson
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Tom Hardy
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Tom Hardy
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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