Open Science & Tech Polymarket

Measles cases in U.S. by July 31?

Top outcomes

2200 98%
2300 34%
2400 4%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.

$9K Vol. Closes Jul 31, 2026

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$8.8k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$9K Vol.

2200

98% market probability

98%

Explain your Yes on 2200 Explain your No on 2200 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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2300

34% market probability

34%

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0 / 2,000

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2400

4% market probability

4%

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0 / 2,000

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