Resolved Science & Tech Polymarket

June 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

Top outcomes

1.15–1.19ºC 100%
<1.10ºC 0%
>1.29ºC 0%
1.10–1.14ºC 0%

This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for June 2026 when it is released. An anomaly within a named bracket for June 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for June 2026 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jun" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for June 2026 is provided by NASA by August 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

$89K Vol. Closed Jun 30, 2026
Resolved outcome: 1.15–1.19ºC

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All outcomes

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$89K Vol.

1.15–1.19ºC

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

<1.10ºC

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

>1.29ºC

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

1.10–1.14ºC

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

1.20–1.24ºC

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

1.25–1.29ºC

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100
Forecasts are closed because this event has already started.

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No forecasts were placed before this market closed.