Open Polymarket

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

Top outcomes

September 30 78%
September 15 21%
September 13 10%
September 11 7%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.

$255K Vol. Closes Oct 1, 2026

Live Polymarket Chart

Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

Open on Polymarket ↗

The chart is view-only. Use Open on Polymarket above to visit the market — no trading on this platform.

$254.9k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$255K Vol.

September 30

78% market probability

78%

Explain your Yes on September 30 Explain your No on September 30 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

September 15

21% market probability

21%

Explain your Yes on September 15 Explain your No on September 15 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

September 13

10% market probability

10%

Explain your Yes on September 13 Explain your No on September 13 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

September 11

7% market probability

7%

Explain your Yes on September 11 Explain your No on September 11 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

September 9

6% market probability

6%

Explain your Yes on September 9 Explain your No on September 9 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

August 31

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on August 31 Explain your No on August 31 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Public forecast history

All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.

No forecasts yet. Be the first to place one.