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Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 14?
Top outcomes
24°C
41%
25°C
26%
23°C
18%
26°C
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
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$28K Vol.
Closes Jun 14, 2026
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$28.0k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$28K Vol.
24°C
41% market probability
41%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 41%
+59 / −41
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 59%
+41 / −59
25°C
26% market probability
26%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 26%
+74 / −26
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 74%
+26 / −74
Explain your Yes on 25°C
Explain your No on 25°C
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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23°C
18% market probability
18%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 18%
+82 / −18
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 82%
+18 / −82
Explain your Yes on 23°C
Explain your No on 23°C
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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26°C
12% market probability
12%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 12%
+88 / −12
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 88%
+12 / −88
Explain your Yes on 26°C
Explain your No on 26°C
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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22°C
5% market probability
5%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 95%
+5 / −95
Explain your Yes on 22°C
Explain your No on 22°C
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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27°C
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on 27°C
Explain your No on 27°C
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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29°C
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 29°C
Explain your No on 29°C
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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28°C
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 28°C
Explain your No on 28°C
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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30°C or higher
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 30°C or higher
Explain your No on 30°C or higher
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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21°C
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 21°C
Explain your No on 21°C
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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20°C or below
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 20°C or below
Explain your No on 20°C or below
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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