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Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 11?
Top outcomes
31°C
42%
30°C
34%
32°C
12%
29°C
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
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$24K Vol.
Closes Jun 11, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$23.7k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$24K Vol.
31°C
42% market probability
42%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 42%
+58 / −42
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 58%
+42 / −58
30°C
34% market probability
34%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 34%
+66 / −34
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 66%
+34 / −66
Explain your Yes on 30°C
Explain your No on 30°C
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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32°C
12% market probability
12%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 12%
+88 / −12
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 88%
+12 / −88
Explain your Yes on 32°C
Explain your No on 32°C
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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29°C
10% market probability
10%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 90%
+10 / −90
Explain your Yes on 29°C
Explain your No on 29°C
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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28°C
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on 28°C
Explain your No on 28°C
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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33°C
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on 33°C
Explain your No on 33°C
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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34°C
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on 34°C
Explain your No on 34°C
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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27°C
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 27°C
Explain your No on 27°C
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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35°C or higher
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 35°C or higher
Explain your No on 35°C or higher
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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26°C
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 26°C
Explain your No on 26°C
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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25°C or below
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 25°C or below
Explain your No on 25°C or below
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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