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Highest temperature in Paris on June 22?
Top outcomes
38°C
52%
37°C
24%
39°C
12%
36°C
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
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$73K Vol.
Closes Jun 22, 2026
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$73.3k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$73K Vol.
38°C
52% market probability
52%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 52%
+48 / −52
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 48%
+52 / −48
37°C
24% market probability
24%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 24%
+76 / −24
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 76%
+24 / −76
Explain your Yes on 37°C
Explain your No on 37°C
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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39°C
12% market probability
12%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 12%
+88 / −12
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 88%
+12 / −88
Explain your Yes on 39°C
Explain your No on 39°C
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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36°C
7% market probability
7%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 7%
+93 / −7
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 93%
+7 / −93
Explain your Yes on 36°C
Explain your No on 36°C
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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40°C
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on 40°C
Explain your No on 40°C
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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35°C
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on 35°C
Explain your No on 35°C
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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34°C or below
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 34°C or below
Explain your No on 34°C or below
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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41°C
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 41°C
Explain your No on 41°C
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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42°C
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 42°C
Explain your No on 42°C
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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43°C
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 43°C
Explain your No on 43°C
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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44°C or higher
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 44°C or higher
Explain your No on 44°C or higher
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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