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Highest temperature in Los Angeles on July 26?
Top outcomes
78-79°F
64%
80-81°F
22%
76-77°F
12%
82-83°F
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
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$20K Vol.
Closes Jul 26, 2026
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$20.4k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$20K Vol.
78-79°F
64% market probability
64%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 64%
+36 / −64
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 36%
+64 / −36
80-81°F
22% market probability
22%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 22%
+78 / −22
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 78%
+22 / −78
Explain your Yes on 80-81°F
Explain your No on 80-81°F
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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76-77°F
12% market probability
12%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 12%
+88 / −12
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 88%
+12 / −88
Explain your Yes on 76-77°F
Explain your No on 76-77°F
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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82-83°F
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on 82-83°F
Explain your No on 82-83°F
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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84-85°F
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on 84-85°F
Explain your No on 84-85°F
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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86-87°F
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on 86-87°F
Explain your No on 86-87°F
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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74-75°F
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 74-75°F
Explain your No on 74-75°F
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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73°F or below
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 73°F or below
Explain your No on 73°F or below
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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88-89°F
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 88-89°F
Explain your No on 88-89°F
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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90-91°F
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 90-91°F
Explain your No on 90-91°F
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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92°F or higher
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 92°F or higher
Explain your No on 92°F or higher
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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