Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Anthropic IPO by __? US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? F1 Drivers' Champion Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? When will Bitcoin hit $150k? Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? Pro Football: 2027 Champion Which party will win the Senate in 2026? Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...? Fed Decision in October? Will Hamas agree to disarm by...? Iran leadership change by...? Presidential Election Winner 2028 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...? Texas Senate Election Winner
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Anthropic IPO by __? US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? F1 Drivers' Champion Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? When will Bitcoin hit $150k? Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? Pro Football: 2027 Champion Which party will win the Senate in 2026? Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...? Fed Decision in October? Will Hamas agree to disarm by...? Iran leadership change by...? Presidential Election Winner 2028 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...? Texas Senate Election Winner
Open Polymarket

Ethereum above ___ on October 23?

Top outcomes

1,900 99%
2,000 98%
2,100 97%
2,200 92%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

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$31K Vol. Closes Oct 23, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$30.6k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$31K Vol.

1,900

99% market probability

99%

Explain your Yes on 1,900 Explain your No on 1,900 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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2,000

98% market probability

98%

Explain your Yes on 2,000 Explain your No on 2,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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2,100

97% market probability

97%

Explain your Yes on 2,100 Explain your No on 2,100 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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2,200

92% market probability

92%

Explain your Yes on 2,200 Explain your No on 2,200 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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2,300

80% market probability

80%

Explain your Yes on 2,300 Explain your No on 2,300 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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2,400

53% market probability

53%

Explain your Yes on 2,400 Explain your No on 2,400 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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2,500

25% market probability

25%

Explain your Yes on 2,500 Explain your No on 2,500 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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2,600

8% market probability

8%

Explain your Yes on 2,600 Explain your No on 2,600 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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2,700

3% market probability

3%

Explain your Yes on 2,700 Explain your No on 2,700 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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2,800

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on 2,800 Explain your No on 2,800 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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2,900

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on 2,900 Explain your No on 2,900 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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