Open
Polymarket
Ethereum above ___ on July 1?
Top outcomes
1,200
100%
1,300
99%
1,100
99%
1,400
97%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
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$111K Vol.
Closes Jul 1, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$111.2k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$111K Vol.
1,200
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
1,300
99% market probability
99%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 99%
+1 / −99
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 1%
+99 / −1
Explain your Yes on 1,300
Explain your No on 1,300
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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1,100
99% market probability
99%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 99%
+1 / −99
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 1%
+99 / −1
Explain your Yes on 1,100
Explain your No on 1,100
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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1,400
97% market probability
97%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 97%
+3 / −97
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 3%
+97 / −3
Explain your Yes on 1,400
Explain your No on 1,400
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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1,500
84% market probability
84%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 84%
+16 / −84
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 16%
+84 / −16
Explain your Yes on 1,500
Explain your No on 1,500
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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1,600
44% market probability
44%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 44%
+56 / −44
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 56%
+44 / −56
Explain your Yes on 1,600
Explain your No on 1,600
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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1,700
10% market probability
10%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 90%
+10 / −90
Explain your Yes on 1,700
Explain your No on 1,700
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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1,900
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on 1,900
Explain your No on 1,900
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
1,800
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on 1,800
Explain your No on 1,800
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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2,000
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on 2,000
Explain your No on 2,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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2,100
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 2,100
Explain your No on 2,100
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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