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Polymarket
Bitcoin price on September 5?
Top outcomes
80,000-82,000
34%
82,000-84,000
26%
78,000-80,000
18%
84,000-86,000
11%
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
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$32K Vol.
Closes Sep 5, 2026
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$32.3k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$32K Vol.
80,000-82,000
34% market probability
34%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 34%
+66 / −34
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 66%
+34 / −66
82,000-84,000
26% market probability
26%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 26%
+74 / −26
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 74%
+26 / −74
Explain your Yes on 82,000-84,000
Explain your No on 82,000-84,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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78,000-80,000
18% market probability
18%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 18%
+82 / −18
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 82%
+18 / −82
Explain your Yes on 78,000-80,000
Explain your No on 78,000-80,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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84,000-86,000
11% market probability
11%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 11%
+89 / −11
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 89%
+11 / −89
Explain your Yes on 84,000-86,000
Explain your No on 84,000-86,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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>86,000
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on >86,000
Explain your No on >86,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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76,000-78,000
5% market probability
5%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 95%
+5 / −95
Explain your Yes on 76,000-78,000
Explain your No on 76,000-78,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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74,000-76,000
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on 74,000-76,000
Explain your No on 74,000-76,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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72,000-74,000
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on 72,000-74,000
Explain your No on 72,000-74,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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<68,000
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on <68,000
Explain your No on <68,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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70,000-72,000
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on 70,000-72,000
Explain your No on 70,000-72,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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68,000-70,000
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 68,000-70,000
Explain your No on 68,000-70,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Public forecast history
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