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Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of August 8
Top outcomes
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
67%
Other
50%
Song A
50%
Song B
50%
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of August 8, 2026”. The named songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
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$9K Vol.
Closes Aug 4, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$9.1k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$9K Vol.
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
67% market probability
67%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 67%
+33 / −67
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 33%
+67 / −33
Other
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Other
Explain your No on Other
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Song A
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Song A
Explain your No on Song A
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Song B
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Song B
Explain your No on Song B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Song C
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Song C
Explain your No on Song C
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Song D
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Song D
Explain your No on Song D
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Song E
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Song E
Explain your No on Song E
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Song F
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Song F
Explain your No on Song F
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Song G
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Song G
Explain your No on Song G
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Boston - Stella Lefty
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Boston - Stella Lefty
Explain your No on Boston - Stella Lefty
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Janice STFU - Drake
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Janice STFU - Drake
Explain your No on Janice STFU - Drake
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Be Her - Ella Langley
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Be Her - Ella Langley
Explain your No on Be Her - Ella Langley
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande
Explain your No on hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo
Explain your No on Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift
Explain your No on I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo
Explain your No on Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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