AZ-05 Democratic Primary Winner

Top outcomes

Elizabeth Lee 92%

Other 50%

Candidate A 50%

Candidate B 50%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on July 21, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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$34K Vol. Closed Jul 21, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$34.2k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$34K Vol.

Elizabeth Lee

92% market probability

92%

Yes 92% +8 / −92 No 8% +92 / −8

Other

50% market probability

50%

Yes 50% +50 / −50 No 50% +50 / −50

Candidate A

50% market probability

50%

Yes 50% +50 / −50 No 50% +50 / −50

Candidate B

50% market probability

50%

Yes 50% +50 / −50 No 50% +50 / −50

Candidate C

50% market probability

50%

Yes 50% +50 / −50 No 50% +50 / −50

Chris James

8% market probability

Yes 8% +92 / −8 No 92% +8 / −92

Brian Hualde

1% market probability

Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

Blake Bracht

0% market probability

Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Forecasts are closed because this event has already started.

Public forecast history

All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.

No forecasts were placed before this market closed.