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America's Got Talent S21: Who Advances from Quarterfinals?
Top outcomes
Come Here
100%
Nene Royal
100%
Luke Taleno
100%
Geno Ploeger
100%
America’s Got Talent (AGT) Season 21 begins live Quarterfinals on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed act advances to the Semifinals or Finals of AGT Season 21 during the Quarterfinals thereof. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An act will be considered to advance upon official declaration on the show's broadcast. Retractions, withdrawals, and disqualifications made after a qualifying announcement will not be considered. An act's eventual participation or non-participation in the Semifinals or Finals will not be considered.
An act sent directly to the Final by a Golden Buzzer will count as advancing.
If the listed act is not declared to advance by the end of the Quarterfinals, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the listed act has not been declared to advance, and the Quarterfinals have not finished, by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be footage from America’s Got Talent.
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$27K Vol.
Closes Sep 16, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$27.3k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$27K Vol.
Come Here
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Nene Royal
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Nene Royal
Explain your No on Nene Royal
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Luke Taleno
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Luke Taleno
Explain your No on Luke Taleno
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Geno Ploeger
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Geno Ploeger
Explain your No on Geno Ploeger
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Olivia Befus
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Olivia Befus
Explain your No on Olivia Befus
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Royal Lasers
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Royal Lasers
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Hundred Fingers
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Hundred Fingers
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Veronika Goroshkova
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Veronika Goroshkova
Explain your No on Veronika Goroshkova
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Unitree
60% market probability
60%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 60%
+40 / −60
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 40%
+60 / −40
Explain your Yes on Unitree
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Lai Noelle
60% market probability
60%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 60%
+40 / −60
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 40%
+60 / −40
Explain your Yes on Lai Noelle
Explain your No on Lai Noelle
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Tyrone and Margo
59% market probability
59%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 59%
+41 / −59
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 41%
+59 / −41
Explain your Yes on Tyrone and Margo
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Bird & Byron
59% market probability
59%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 59%
+41 / −59
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 41%
+59 / −41
Explain your Yes on Bird & Byron
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Elsie
57% market probability
57%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 57%
+43 / −57
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 43%
+57 / −43
Explain your Yes on Elsie
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Holland and Sienna
57% market probability
57%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 57%
+43 / −57
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 43%
+57 / −43
Explain your Yes on Holland and Sienna
Explain your No on Holland and Sienna
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Guy Kelton Jones I
56% market probability
56%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 56%
+44 / −56
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 44%
+56 / −44
Explain your Yes on Guy Kelton Jones I
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Akira
55% market probability
55%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 55%
+45 / −55
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 45%
+55 / −45
Explain your Yes on Akira
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Lara D
54% market probability
54%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 54%
+46 / −54
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 46%
+54 / −46
Explain your Yes on Lara D
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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ACRO Crew
52% market probability
52%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 52%
+48 / −52
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 48%
+52 / −48
Explain your Yes on ACRO Crew
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Young & Strange
52% market probability
52%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 52%
+48 / −52
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 48%
+52 / −48
Explain your Yes on Young & Strange
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Jesse Joe
52% market probability
52%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 52%
+48 / −52
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 48%
+52 / −48
Explain your Yes on Jesse Joe
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Travis Garland
52% market probability
52%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 52%
+48 / −52
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 48%
+52 / −48
Explain your Yes on Travis Garland
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Daniel Alvarez
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Daniel Alvarez
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Herwan Legaillard
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Herwan Legaillard
Explain your No on Herwan Legaillard
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Cameron Logsdon
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Cameron Logsdon
Explain your No on Cameron Logsdon
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Pynk Beard
48% market probability
48%
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
Yes 48%
+52 / −48
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
No 52%
+48 / −52
Explain your Yes on Pynk Beard
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Maria
46% market probability
46%
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
Yes 46%
+54 / −46
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
No 54%
+46 / −54
Explain your Yes on Maria
Explain your No on Maria
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Cesar Dias
45% market probability
45%
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
Yes 45%
+55 / −45
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
No 55%
+45 / −55
Explain your Yes on Cesar Dias
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Isaac Atkins
32% market probability
32%
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
Yes 32%
+68 / −32
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
No 68%
+32 / −68
Explain your Yes on Isaac Atkins
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Rubén Roldán Bustos
28% market probability
28%
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
Yes 28%
+72 / −28
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
No 72%
+28 / −72
Explain your Yes on Rubén Roldán Bustos
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Kameron Marshall
24% market probability
24%
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
Yes 24%
+76 / −24
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
No 76%
+24 / −76
Explain your Yes on Kameron Marshall
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Butter & Grit
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on Butter & Grit
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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LaRussell
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-31']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-31']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on LaRussell
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Ashford Sanders
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-32']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-32']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Ashford Sanders
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Brad and Tracy
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-33']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-33']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Brad and Tracy
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Patrox
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-34']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-34']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Patrox
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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James & Marina
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-35']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-35']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on James & Marina
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Nyjah Music & Zyah Rhythm
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-36']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-36']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Nyjah Music & Zyah Rhythm
Explain your No on Nyjah Music & Zyah Rhythm
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Béty
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-37']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-37']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Béty
Explain your No on Béty
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Brook Lynn
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-38']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-38']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Brook Lynn
Explain your No on Brook Lynn
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Mackenzie Sol
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-39']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-39']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Mackenzie Sol
Explain your No on Mackenzie Sol
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Sando
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-40']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-40']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Sando
Explain your No on Sando
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Jesse White Tumbling Team
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-41']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-41']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Jesse White Tumbling Team
Explain your No on Jesse White Tumbling Team
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Cris Sosa
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-42']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-42']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Cris Sosa
Explain your No on Cris Sosa
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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The CommUNITY ATL Choir
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-43']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-43']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on The CommUNITY ATL Choir
Explain your No on The CommUNITY ATL Choir
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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