Markets
All markets
Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.
US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by...?
December 31
42%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
$94K Vol.
Polymarket
Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
September 30
1%
Yes
No
July 31
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$94K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by...?
September 30
6%
Yes
No
July 31
0%
Yes
No
$94K Vol.
Polymarket
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
December 31
80%
Yes
No
October 31
70%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$86K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by...?
October 31
40%
Yes
No
August 31
0%
Yes
No
$85K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Serhiivka by...?
December 31
8%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$78K Vol.
Polymarket
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
No
95%
Yes
5%
$75K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by...?
September 30
92%
Yes
No
August 31
90%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$74K Vol.
Polymarket
Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
September 30
1%
Yes
No
July 31
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$71K Vol.
Polymarket
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?
December 31
16%
Yes
No
September 30
2%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$69K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by...?
December 31
42%
Yes
No
September 30
6%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$65K Vol.
Polymarket
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?
No
97%
Yes
3%
$64K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Svitle by...?
October 31
29%
Yes
No
August 31
0%
Yes
No
$59K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia enter Hannivka by...?
December 31
94%
Yes
No
September 30
78%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$56K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...?
September 30
26%
Yes
No
September 15
16%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$56K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Shevchenko by...?
October 31
62%
Yes
No
August 31
0%
Yes
No
$55K Vol.
Polymarket
Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
September 30
3%
Yes
No
July 31
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$55K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by...?
December 31
42%
Yes
No
September 30
10%
Yes
No
$48K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Iran target Bahrain by...?
September 30
66%
Yes
No
September 15
53%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$41K Vol.
Polymarket
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?
US
17%
Yes
No
Italy
16%
Yes
No
+6 more outcomes
$38K Vol.
Polymarket
Israel military action against Syria by...?
September 30
20%
Yes
No
September 15
14%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$37K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by...?
December 31
11%
Yes
No
October 31
10%
Yes
No
$33K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Iran target Oman by...?
September 30
18%
Yes
No
September 15
8%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$31K Vol.
Polymarket
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by...?
October 31
18%
Yes
No
September 30
16%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$29K Vol.
Polymarket
Showing 73–96