Markets
All markets
Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.
Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?
7.9 or below
64%
Yes
No
8.2 – 8.3
11%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$28K Vol.
Polymarket
Measles cases in U.S. by October 31?
3700+
100%
Yes
No
3800+
100%
Yes
No
+9 more outcomes
$28K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Lowest Mississippi level at Baton Rouge by November 30?
6.00 ft or more
59%
Yes
No
5.00 to 5.99 ft
18%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$24K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Next Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?
1480+
81%
Yes
No
1490+
72%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$22K Vol.
Polymarket
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$21K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Plague declared public health emergency by...?
December 31
3%
Yes
No
November 30
2%
Yes
No
$21K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Plague case in US by December 31?
No
92%
Yes
8%
$14K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
How many Chinook will pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?
More than 550,000
99%
Yes
No
More than 575,000
98%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$12K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
December 31
14%
Yes
No
October 31
6%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$11K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
100kt meteor strike in 2026?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$9K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
How many SpaceX launches in October 2026?
<14
86%
Yes
No
15
16%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$2K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?
No
94%
Yes
6%
$670 Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?
No
94%
Yes
6%
$88 Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Showing 73–85