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Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.
June 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.10–1.14ºC
36%
Yes
No
1.15–1.19ºC
35%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$3K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Precipitation in Seattle in June?
1-1.5"
36%
Yes
No
1.5-2"
26%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$2K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Precipitation in Hong Kong in June?
400-425mm
26%
Yes
No
475-500mm
26%
Yes
No
+6 more outcomes
$2K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
How many Tornadoes in the US in June?
190–219
46%
Yes
No
100–129
44%
Yes
No
+7 more outcomes
$2K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
How far ahead of Google’s quantum benchmark will ECDSA.fail get by June 30?
40%+
94%
Yes
No
50%+
62%
Yes
No
$2K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Precipitation in London in June?
50-60mm
28%
Yes
No
60-70mm
28%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$1K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Precipitation in NYC in June?
<2"
36%
Yes
No
3-4"
28%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$659 Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Precipitation in Seoul in June?
120-130mm
35%
Yes
No
<100mm
25%
Yes
No
+6 more outcomes
$611 Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?
No
92%
Yes
8%
$434 Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
How many Tornadoes in the US in July?
100–129
38%
Yes
No
310+
34%
Yes
No
+7 more outcomes
$422 Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.10–1.14ºC
44%
Yes
No
1.15–1.19ºC
42%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$303 Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?
No
30%
Yes
70%
$66 Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...
Forecasts closed
June 30
50%
Yes
No
August 30
50%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
Polymarket
Science & Tech
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