Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?

7.9 or below 64% Yes No
8.2 – 8.3 11% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$28K Vol.
Polymarket

Measles cases in U.S. by October 31?

3700+ 100% Yes No
3800+ 100% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$28K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Lowest Mississippi level at Baton Rouge by November 30?

6.00 ft or more 59% Yes No
5.00 to 5.99 ft 18% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$24K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Next Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?

1480+ 81% Yes No
1490+ 72% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$22K Vol.
Polymarket

Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$21K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Plague declared public health emergency by...?

December 31 3% Yes No
November 30 2% Yes No
$21K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Plague case in US by December 31?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$14K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

How many Chinook will pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?

More than 550,000 99% Yes No
More than 575,000 98% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$12K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

December 31 14% Yes No
October 31 6% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$11K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$9K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

How many SpaceX launches in October 2026?

<14 86% Yes No
15 16% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$2K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$670 Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$88 Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech