Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Bank of Japan Decision in October?

No change 97% Yes No
25 bps increase 3% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$249K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$245K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

5.40% 100% Yes No
5.45% 100% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$242K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

D-Wave 100% Yes No
Rigetti 100% Yes No

+18 more outcomes

$217K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Google 100% Yes No
Anthropic 62% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$215K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?

1m 100% Yes No
1.1m 100% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$188K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Bank of Canada Decision in October?

No Change 84% Yes No
25 bps increase 15% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$185K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?

December 31 4% Yes No
August 31 0% Yes No
$174K Vol.
Polymarket

Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

5.00-5.49% 71% Yes No
5.50-5.99% 15% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$169K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?

$1.50–$1.75T 50% Yes No
$1.75–$2.00T 34% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$166K Vol.
Polymarket

Discord IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO by December 31, 2027 59% Yes No
11–14B 9% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$154K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$150K Vol.
Polymarket

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November

No change 82% Yes No
25 bps increase 17% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$146K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

U.K. Annual Inflation 2026

3.5–3.9% 68% Yes No
3.0–3.4% 10% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$141K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Below 4.50% 28% Yes No
Below 4.45% 22% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$134K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

No 90%
Yes 10%
$132K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

4.70% 100% Yes No
4.75% 100% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$127K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What will Anthropic's public ticker be?

$ANTH 30% Yes No
$ANT 29% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$127K Vol.
Polymarket

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

No 67%
Yes 33%
$124K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

USD x Iranian rials End of December?

3.0 - 3.5M 26% Yes No
2.5 - 3.0M 25% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$122K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Below 5.20% 38% Yes No
Below 5.15% 22% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$120K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026

3.1%+ 89% Yes No
2.2–2.4% 4% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$120K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

China Annual Inflation 2026

0.6 – 1.0% 50% Yes No
1.1 – 1.5% 38% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$118K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

1-2% 89% Yes No
0-1% 6% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$112K Vol.
Polymarket Economy