Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

Tim Cook - Apple 100% Yes No
Sam Altman - OpenAI 13% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$696K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in May 2026?

$628K Vol.
Polymarket

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$900B 89% Yes No
↑$1.0T 80% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$603K Vol.
Polymarket

May Inflation US - Annual

4.2% 100% Yes No
3.4% 0% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$595K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Which banks will fail by June 30?

BMO 2% Yes No
US Bank 1% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$530K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Databricks IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO by June 30, 2026 100% Yes No
250B+ 0% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$528K Vol.
Polymarket

Will SpaceX's valuation hit __ by June 30?

↑$1.5T 100% Yes No
↑$1.6T 100% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$506K Vol.
Polymarket

In which month will SpaceX IPO?

June 100% Yes No
No IPO before 2027 0% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$484K Vol.
Polymarket

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

Forecasts closed
5.0% 16% Yes No
5.5% 12% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$435K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Bank of Japan Decision in June?

25 bps increase 98% Yes No
No change 2% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$428K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$402K Vol.
Polymarket

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of June?

↑ $7,050 100% Yes No
↑ $7,150 100% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$397K Vol.
Polymarket

2nd largest company end of June?

Alphabet 68% Yes No
Apple 26% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$396K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by June 30?

↑ $1.0T 100% Yes No
↑ $925B 100% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$333K Vol.
Polymarket

How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?

Forecasts closed
70-80B 96% Yes No
80-90B 2% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$331K Vol.
Polymarket

Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

30%+ 100% Yes No
35%+ 100% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$320K Vol.
Polymarket

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

June 30 9% Yes No
April 30 0% Yes No
$293K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$289K Vol.
Polymarket

US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?

No 100%
Yes 0%
$278K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Bank of England decision in June?

No change 98% Yes No
25 bps increase 1% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$272K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in June 2026?

↓ $4,200 100% Yes No
↓ $4,300 100% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$272K Vol.
Polymarket

What will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit in May 2026?

$268K Vol.
Polymarket

Bank of Brazil Decision in June?

No Change 62% Yes No
Decrease 38% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$263K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Stripe IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO by June 30, 2026 100% Yes No
140B+ 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$258K Vol.
Polymarket