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World Cup: Scotland Stage of Elimination
Top outcomes
Group Stage
99%
Other
50%
Round of 32
1%
Round of 16
0%
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Scotland is eliminated. If Scotland wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If Scotland is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Scotland based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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$100K Vol.
Closes Jul 19, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$100.0k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$100K Vol.
Group Stage
99% market probability
99%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 99%
+1 / −99
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 1%
+99 / −1
Other
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Other
Explain your No on Other
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Round of 32
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Round of 32
Explain your No on Round of 32
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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Round of 16
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Round of 16
Explain your No on Round of 16
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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Semifinals
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Semifinals
Explain your No on Semifinals
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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Final
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Final
Explain your No on Final
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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Champion
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Champion
Explain your No on Champion
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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Quarterfinals
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Quarterfinals
Explain your No on Quarterfinals
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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Public forecast history
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