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Russia nuclear test by...? Next French Presidential Election Makerfield by-election Winner Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen? US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...? Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...? F1 Constructors' Champion Fed Decision in July? Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Will Base launch a token by ___ ? Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes) Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place Will US withdraw from NATO by...? Where will Maxx Crosby play in 2026? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Open Sports Polymarket

World Cup Winner

Top outcomes

Spain 17%
France 16%
Portugal 11%
England 10%

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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$2152.5M Vol. Closes Jul 20, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$2.2b Vol.

All outcomes

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$2152.5M Vol.

Spain

17% market probability

17%

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0 / 2,000

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France

16% market probability

16%

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0 / 2,000

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Portugal

11% market probability

11%

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0 / 2,000

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England

10% market probability

10%

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0 / 2,000

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Brazil

8% market probability

8%

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0 / 2,000

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Argentina

8% market probability

8%

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0 / 2,000

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Germany

5% market probability

5%

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0 / 2,000

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Netherlands

5% market probability

5%

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0 / 2,000

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Norway

2% market probability

2%

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0 / 2,000

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Japan

2% market probability

2%

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0 / 2,000

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Belgium

2% market probability

2%

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0 / 2,000

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Colombia

2% market probability

2%

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0 / 2,000

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Morocco

2% market probability

2%

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0 / 2,000

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Switzerland

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Mexico

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Turkiye

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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USA

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Uruguay

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Croatia

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Ecuador

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Senegal

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Austria

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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South Korea

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Sweden

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Ivory Coast

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Canada

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Paraguay

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Scotland

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Iran

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Egypt

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Ghana

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Algeria

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Czechia

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Congo DR

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Australia

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Bosnia-Herzegovina

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Iraq

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Haiti

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Qatar

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Jordan

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Panama

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Tunisia

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Curaçao

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Cape Verde

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Uzbekistan

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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New Zealand

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Saudi Arabia

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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South Africa

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Peru

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Italy

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.

EF @fedenappa · Verified record
Forecast Germany · Polymarket 6% · +94/−6

Break-even if exited now

Pending

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Matu @Matu · Verified record
Forecast Argentina · Polymarket 9% · +91/−9

-1 rep if exited now

Pending

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