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Russia nuclear test by...? Next French Presidential Election Makerfield by-election Winner Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen? US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...? Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...? F1 Constructors' Champion Fed Decision in July? Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Will Base launch a token by ___ ? Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes) Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place Will US withdraw from NATO by...? Where will Maxx Crosby play in 2026? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Open Politics Polymarket

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Top outcomes

Gavin Newsom 23%
Jon Ossoff 9%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 9%
Kamala Harris 7%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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$1194.0M Vol. Closes Nov 7, 2028

Live Polymarket Chart

Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$1.2b Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$1194.0M Vol.

Gavin Newsom

23% market probability

23%

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0 / 2,000

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Jon Ossoff

9% market probability

9%

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0 / 2,000

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

9% market probability

9%

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Kamala Harris

7% market probability

7%

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Josh Shapiro

5% market probability

5%

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0 / 2,000

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Pete Buttigieg

4% market probability

4%

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0 / 2,000

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Andy Beshear

3% market probability

3%

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James Talarico

2% market probability

2%

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Ro Khanna

2% market probability

2%

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Rahm Emanuel

2% market probability

2%

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Mark Kelly

2% market probability

2%

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0 / 2,000

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Jon Stewart

2% market probability

2%

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J.B. Pritzker

2% market probability

2%

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Wes Moore

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Michelle Obama

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Stephen A. Smith

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Mark Cuban

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Roy Cooper

1% market probability

1%

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Cory Booker

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Chelsea Clinton

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Chris Murphy

1% market probability

1%

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Hunter Biden

1% market probability

1%

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John Fetterman

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Gretchen Whitmer

1% market probability

1%

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MrBeast

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Liz Cheney

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Jared Polis

1% market probability

1%

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Barack Obama

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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LeBron James

1% market probability

1%

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Gina Raimondo

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Oprah Winfrey

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Ruben Gallego

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Bernie Sanders

1% market probability

1%

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Zohran Mamdani

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Hillary Clinton

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Raphael Warnock

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Tim Walz

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Andrew Yang

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Phil Murphy

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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George Clooney

1% market probability

1%

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Graham Platner

1% market probability

1%

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Kim Kardashian

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Beto O’Rourke

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Jasmine Crockett

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.

TheBagHodler · Verified record
Forecast Gavin Newsom · Polymarket 23% · +77/−23

Break-even if exited now

Pending

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