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F1 Constructors' Champion SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ? MLB: 2026 American League Champion Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Colombia Presidential Election Where will Maxx Crosby play in 2026? Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...? Next UK Prime Minister in 2026? Will Base launch a token by ___ ? Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? When will Bitcoin hit $150k? Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ? Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election? Where will Trump and Putin meet next? Iran leader end of 2026? Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Open Politics Polymarket

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Top outcomes

J.D. Vance 33%
Marco Rubio 23%
Tucker Carlson 6%
Ron DeSantis 3%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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$656.4M Vol. Closes Nov 7, 2028

Live Polymarket Chart

Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$656.4m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$656.4M Vol.

J.D. Vance

33% market probability

33%

Explain your Yes on J.D. Vance Explain your No on J.D. Vance (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Marco Rubio

23% market probability

23%

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0 / 2,000

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Tucker Carlson

6% market probability

6%

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0 / 2,000

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Ron DeSantis

3% market probability

3%

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0 / 2,000

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Donald Trump Jr.

3% market probability

3%

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0 / 2,000

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Donald Trump

2% market probability

2%

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0 / 2,000

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Thomas Massie

2% market probability

2%

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0 / 2,000

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Greg Abbott

2% market probability

2%

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0 / 2,000

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Glenn Youngkin

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Vivek Ramaswamy

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Ivanka Trump

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Ted Cruz

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Elon Musk

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Rand Paul

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Tulsi Gabbard

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Marjorie Taylor Greene

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Tom Brady

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Brian Kemp

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Josh Hawley

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Katie Britt

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Nikki Haley

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Steve Bannon

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Kim Kardashian

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Joe Kent

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Eric Trump

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Erika Kirk

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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John Thune

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Matt Gaetz

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Pete Hegseth

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Byron Donalds

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Elise Stefanik

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Sarah Huckabee Sanders

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Mike Pence

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Kristi Noem

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.

EF @fedenappa · Verified record
Forecast Marco Rubio · Polymarket 25% · +75/−25

-2 rep if exited now

Pending

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