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Who will be Ukraine's next Commander-in-Chief in 2026?
Top outcomes
Mykhailo Drapatyi
98%
Other
50%
Person A
50%
Person B
50%
On February 8, 2024, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy appointed Oleksandr Syrskyi as Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine by presidential decree. This market concerns the first successor appointed after Syrskyi.
This market will resolve according to the next individual whom the President of Ukraine appoints by presidential decree as Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM Kyiv time.
A qualifying appointment will be considered to have occurred when a presidential decree appointing the individual as Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is issued.
A public statement, media report, expression of intent, informal announcement, or appointment of an individual to perform the Commander-in-Chief’s duties on an acting basis will not qualify. A separate decree dismissing Oleksandr Syrskyi, or evidence that the appointee has assumed the position, will not be required for the appointment to qualify.
If no individual is appointed by presidential decree by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM Kyiv time, this market will resolve to “No change.”
If the first qualifying appointee is not included among the listed outcomes, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information and presidential decrees from the President of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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$37K Vol.
Closes Dec 31, 2026
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$37.0k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$37K Vol.
Mykhailo Drapatyi
98% market probability
98%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 98%
+2 / −98
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 3%
+97 / −3
Other
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Other
Explain your No on Other
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person A
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person A
Explain your No on Person A
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person B
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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Explain your No on Person B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person C
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person C
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person D
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person D
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person E
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person E
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person F
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person G
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person H
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person I
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person J
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person K
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person L
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person M
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person M
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person N
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person O
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person O
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person P
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person Q
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person Q
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person R
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person S
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person S
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person T
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person T
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person U
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person U
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person V
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person V
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person W
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person W
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person X
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person Y
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person Y
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person Z
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person Z
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Oleh Apostol
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Oleh Apostol
Explain your No on Oleh Apostol
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Volodymyr Horbatiuk
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Volodymyr Horbatiuk
Explain your No on Volodymyr Horbatiuk
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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No change
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on No change
Explain your No on No change
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Viktor Nikoliuk
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-31']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-31']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Viktor Nikoliuk
Explain your No on Viktor Nikoliuk
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Andrii Biletskyi
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-32']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-32']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Andrii Biletskyi
Explain your No on Andrii Biletskyi
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Denys Prokopenko
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-33']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-33']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Denys Prokopenko
Explain your No on Denys Prokopenko
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Ihor Obolienskyi
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-34']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-34']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Ihor Obolienskyi
Explain your No on Ihor Obolienskyi
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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