Open Pop Culture Polymarket

Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?

Top outcomes

Avengers: Doomsday 74%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 20%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 6%
The Odyssey 6%

This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week. If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

$21K Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$20.7k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$21K Vol.

Avengers: Doomsday

74% market probability

74%

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0 / 2,000

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Spider-Man: Brand New Day

20% market probability

20%

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0 / 2,000

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The Super Mario Galaxy Movie

6% market probability

6%

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0 / 2,000

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The Odyssey

6% market probability

6%

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0 / 2,000

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Toy Story 5

4% market probability

4%

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0 / 2,000

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Dune: Messiah

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Michael

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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