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Which mobs will eliminate Lacy or Marlon?

Top outcomes

Creeper 100%
Skeleton 27%
Vex 22%
Creeper (again) 22%

Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft. This market will resolve to "Yes" if a death message containing the specified mob's name is displayed for either Lacy or Marlon following an in-game Minecraft death between market creation and the end of the marathon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any death message containing the specified mob's name will count, including its plural and possessive forms, and regardless of how the mob caused the in-game death. The exact mob name must appear; a death message naming a different mob whose name contains the specified mob's name will not count. For example, an in-game death to a Wither Skeleton will not resolve "Skeleton" to "Yes," and an in-game death to a Cave Spider will not resolve "Spider" to "Yes." An in-game death seeming to be caused by the specified mob will not count if the mob's name does not appear in the death message. A death message produced by any means other than an actual in-game death, including chat messages, overlays, or messages triggered by commands, will not count. Only one qualifying in-game death is required, and it may be by either player. This market will resolve to "Yes" immediately upon a qualifying in-game death. An in-game death occurring on either Lacy's or Marlon's stream will count. Only in-game deaths occurring while at least one of the two players is broadcasting the challenge live will count. Footage of off-stream or previously recorded attempts will not qualify. If a qualifying death has not occurred since market creation and the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve to "No." If a qualifying death has not occurred since market creation and the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts of Lacy and Marlon.

$21K Vol. Closes Oct 1, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$21.2k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$21K Vol.

Creeper

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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Skeleton

27% market probability

27%

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0 / 2,000

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Vex

22% market probability

22%

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0 / 2,000

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Creeper (again)

22% market probability

22%

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0 / 2,000

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Zombie

20% market probability

20%

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0 / 2,000

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Pillager

17% market probability

17%

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0 / 2,000

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Blaze

16% market probability

16%

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0 / 2,000

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Ender Dragon

13% market probability

13%

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0 / 2,000

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Zombified Piglin

12% market probability

12%

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0 / 2,000

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Enderman

12% market probability

12%

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0 / 2,000

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Wither Skeleton

12% market probability

12%

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0 / 2,000

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Spider

8% market probability

8%

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0 / 2,000

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