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Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Which party will win the House in 2026? Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Russia nuclear test by...? Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? California Governor Election Winner New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis) Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch? Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? When will Bitcoin hit $150k? Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis) How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year
Open Sports Polymarket

Where will Julian Alvarez transfer?

Top outcomes

Atletico Madrid 94%
Other 50%
Team A 50%
Team B 50%

This market will resolve to the next team Julian Alvarez officially joins by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Julian Alvarez does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Atletico Madrid". If Julian Alvarez joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If Julian Alvarez is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Atletico Madrid and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.

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$1.1M Vol. Closes Sep 2, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$1.1m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$1.1M Vol.

Atletico Madrid

94% market probability

94%

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0 / 2,000

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Other

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Team A

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Team B

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Team C

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Team D

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Team E

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Team F

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Team G

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Team H

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Team I

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Team J

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Arsenal

3% market probability

3%

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0 / 2,000

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Barcelona

2% market probability

2%

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0 / 2,000

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Chelsea

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Real Madrid

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Manchester City

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on Manchester City Explain your No on Manchester City (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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