Open Pop Culture Polymarket

"Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office

Top outcomes

158-171m 42%
171-184m 30%
>184m 14%
145-158m 8%

This market will resolve according to how much "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (June 19 - June 21) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by June 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

$69K Vol. Closes Jun 22, 2026

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$69.3k Vol.

All outcomes

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$69K Vol.

158-171m

42% market probability

42%

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0 / 2,000

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171-184m

30% market probability

30%

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0 / 2,000

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>184m

14% market probability

14%

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0 / 2,000

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145-158m

8% market probability

8%

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0 / 2,000

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<145m

4% market probability

4%

Explain your Yes on <145m Explain your No on <145m (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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