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Polymarket
Total commitments for the TownSquare public sale on Sonar
Top outcomes
>1M
100%
>500k
100%
>750k
100%
>1.25M
100%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if total commitments for the TownSquare raise on Sonar exceeds the number specified in the title before the raise closes. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the “committed” figure displayed on the official TownSquare sale page at https://www.townsq.xyz/sale. If the displayed figure reaches the threshold at any point before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of subsequent refunds or cancellations. If the sale is on hold and no commitment total is verifiable by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the raise event is otherwise cancelled or rescheduled to a time past that date, this market resolves to "No". If requisite information for this market’s resolution becomes permanently unavailable within this market’s timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the sale begins and is extended before the official closing time, commitments made during the extended period will count toward resolution.
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$36K Vol.
Closes Sep 1, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$35.5k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$36K Vol.
>1M
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
>500k
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on >500k
Explain your No on >500k
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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>750k
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on >750k
Explain your No on >750k
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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>1.25M
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on >1.25M
Explain your No on >1.25M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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>1.5M
88% market probability
88%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 88%
+12 / −88
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 12%
+88 / −12
Explain your Yes on >1.5M
Explain your No on >1.5M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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>2M
68% market probability
68%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 68%
+32 / −68
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 31%
+69 / −31
Explain your Yes on >2M
Explain your No on >2M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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>2.5M
32% market probability
32%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 32%
+68 / −32
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 68%
+32 / −68
Explain your Yes on >2.5M
Explain your No on >2.5M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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>3M
18% market probability
18%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 18%
+82 / −18
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 82%
+18 / −82
Explain your Yes on >3M
Explain your No on >3M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
>4M
10% market probability
10%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 90%
+10 / −90
Explain your Yes on >4M
Explain your No on >4M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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>5M
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on >5M
Explain your No on >5M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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>7.5M
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on >7.5M
Explain your No on >7.5M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
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