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Polymarket
Tocantins Senate Election: 2nd Place
Top outcomes
Other
50%
Candidate A
50%
Candidate B
50%
Candidate C
50%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
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Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$24.5k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$25K Vol.
Other
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate A
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate B
50% market probability
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate C
50% market probability
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate D
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate E
50% market probability
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate F
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate G
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate H
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate I
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate J
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+50 / −50
No 50%
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Candidate K
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+50 / −50
No 50%
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Candidate L
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
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Candidate M
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate N
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate O
50% market probability
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate P
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate Q
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
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Candidate R
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate S
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate T
50% market probability
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate U
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate V
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
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Candidate W
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate X
50% market probability
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate Y
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate Z
50% market probability
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Alexandre Guimarães
42% market probability
42%
Yes 42%
+58 / −42
No 57%
+43 / −57
Gaguim
36% market probability
36%
Yes 36%
+64 / −36
No 64%
+36 / −64
Eduardo Gomes
9% market probability
9%
Yes 9%
+91 / −9
No 91%
+9 / −91
Ronaldo Dimas
7% market probability
7%
Yes 7%
+93 / −7
No 93%
+7 / −93
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
6% market probability
6%
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
No 94%
+6 / −94
Paulo Mourão
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Eli Borges
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Nilton Santos
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Osvany Luz
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Fábio Ribeiro
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Professor Osvaldo
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Public forecast history
All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.
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