Open Pop Culture Polymarket

"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?

Top outcomes

940 - 950m 48%
950 - 960m 34%
<940m 19%
960 - 970m 2%

This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by September 30, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and September 30, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

$46K Vol. Closes Oct 1, 2026

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$45.9k Vol.

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$46K Vol.

940 - 950m

48% market probability

48%

Explain your Yes on 940 - 950m Explain your No on 940 - 950m (optional)

0 / 2,000

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950 - 960m

34% market probability

34%

Explain your Yes on 950 - 960m Explain your No on 950 - 960m (optional)

0 / 2,000

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<940m

19% market probability

19%

Explain your Yes on <940m Explain your No on <940m (optional)

0 / 2,000

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960 - 970m

2% market probability

2%

Explain your Yes on 960 - 970m Explain your No on 960 - 970m (optional)

0 / 2,000

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970m+

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on 970m+ Explain your No on 970m+ (optional)

0 / 2,000

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