Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Which party will win the House in 2026? Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Russia nuclear test by...? Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? California Governor Election Winner New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis) Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch? Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? When will Bitcoin hit $150k? Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis) How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year
Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Which party will win the House in 2026? Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Russia nuclear test by...? Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? California Governor Election Winner New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis) Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch? Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? When will Bitcoin hit $150k? Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis) How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year
Open Science & Tech Polymarket

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

Top outcomes

October 31 96%
Successful splash down? 86%
September 30 84%
Super Heavy booster explodes? 83%

This is a market on the outcome of the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14.

View on Polymarket
$428K Vol. Closes Jul 1, 2027

Live Polymarket Chart

Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

Open on Polymarket ↗

The chart is view-only. Use Open on Polymarket above to visit the market — no trading on this platform.

$428.1k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$428K Vol.

October 31

96% market probability

96%

Explain your Yes on October 31 Explain your No on October 31 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Successful splash down?

86% market probability

86%

Explain your Yes on Successful splash down? Explain your No on Successful splash down? (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

September 30

84% market probability

84%

Explain your Yes on September 30 Explain your No on September 30 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Super Heavy booster explodes?

83% market probability

83%

Explain your Yes on Super Heavy booster explodes? Explain your No on Super Heavy booster explodes? (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

September 15

19% market probability

19%

Explain your Yes on September 15 Explain your No on September 15 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?

5% market probability

5%

Explain your Yes on Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster? Explain your No on Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster? (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Chopsticks catch Starship?

3% market probability

3%

Explain your Yes on Chopsticks catch Starship? Explain your No on Chopsticks catch Starship? (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

August 22

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on August 22 Explain your No on August 22 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

August 31

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on August 31 Explain your No on August 31 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Public forecast history

All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.

No forecasts yet. Be the first to place one.