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Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?
Top outcomes
Other
50%
Company A
50%
Company B
50%
Company C
50%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
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$48K Vol.
Closes Oct 1, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$48.5k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$48K Vol.
Other
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Company A
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Company A
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Company B
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Company B
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Company C
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Company C
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Company D
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Company E
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Company E
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Company F
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Company G
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Company H
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Company I
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Company J
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Company K
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Company L
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Company M
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Company M
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Alibaba
48% market probability
48%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 48%
+52 / −48
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 52%
+48 / −52
Explain your Yes on Alibaba
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Moonshot
20% market probability
20%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 20%
+80 / −20
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 80%
+20 / −80
Explain your Yes on Moonshot
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Anthropic
16% market probability
16%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 16%
+84 / −16
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 84%
+16 / −84
Explain your Yes on Anthropic
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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OpenAI
8% market probability
8%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 92%
+8 / −92
Explain your Yes on OpenAI
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Z.ai
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on Z.ai
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Tencent
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Tencent
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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ByteDance
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on ByteDance
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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SpaceXAI
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on SpaceXAI
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Meta
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Meta
Explain your No on Meta
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Xiaomi
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Xiaomi
Explain your No on Xiaomi
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Google
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Google
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Mistral
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Mistral
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Thinky
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Thinky
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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MiniMax
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on MiniMax
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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DeepSeek
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on DeepSeek
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Poolside
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Poolside
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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