Forecasts closed
Polymarket
São Tomé Presidential Election First Round Winner
Top outcomes
Carlos Vila Nova
100%
Other
50%
Person A
50%
Person B
50%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in São Tomé and Príncipe on July 19, 2026, with a potential second round to be scheduled if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, this market will resolve to the winner of the specified election.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by São Tomé and Príncipe government sources.
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Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$40.3k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$40K Vol.
Carlos Vila Nova
100% market probability
100%
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
No 0%
+100 / −0
Other
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person A
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person B
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person C
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person D
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person E
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person F
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person G
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person H
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person I
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person J
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person K
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person L
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person M
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person N
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person O
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person P
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person Q
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person R
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person S
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person T
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person U
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person V
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person W
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person X
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person Y
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person Z
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Nito Abreu
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Elsa Pinto
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Nino Monteiro
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Jorge Bom Jesus
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Forecasts are closed because this event has already started.
Public forecast history
All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.
No forecasts were placed before this market closed.
