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São Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place
Top outcomes
Other
50%
Candidate A
50%
Candidate B
50%
Candidate C
50%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
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Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$39.3k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$39K Vol.
Other
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate A
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate B
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate C
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate D
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate E
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate F
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate G
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate H
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate I
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate J
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate K
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate L
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate M
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate N
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate O
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate P
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate Q
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate R
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate S
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate T
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate U
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate V
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate W
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate X
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate Y
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate Z
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Simone Tebet
30% market probability
30%
Yes 30%
+70 / −30
No 70%
+30 / −70
Marina Silva
26% market probability
26%
Yes 26%
+74 / −26
No 74%
+26 / −74
André do Prado
21% market probability
21%
Yes 21%
+79 / −21
No 79%
+21 / −79
Guilherme Derrite
20% market probability
20%
Yes 20%
+80 / −20
No 80%
+20 / −80
Salles
10% market probability
10%
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
No 90%
+10 / −90
Marcio Alves
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Petter Maahs
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Geraldo Rufino
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Maíra de Souza
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Soninha Francine
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
William Teixeira
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Weller Gonçalves
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Ednelson Cesaretti
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Dra. Eliana Ferreira
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Public forecast history
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