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Polymarket
Santa Catarina Senate Election: 1st Place
Top outcomes
Other
50%
Candidate A
50%
Candidate B
50%
Candidate C
50%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
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Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$23.7k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$24K Vol.
Other
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate A
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate B
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate C
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate D
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate E
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate F
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate G
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate H
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate I
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate J
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Candidate K
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate L
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate M
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate N
50% market probability
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate O
50% market probability
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate P
50% market probability
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate Q
50% market probability
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate R
50% market probability
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate S
50% market probability
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate T
50% market probability
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate U
50% market probability
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate V
50% market probability
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate W
50% market probability
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate X
50% market probability
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate Y
50% market probability
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate Z
50% market probability
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Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Esperidião Amin
34% market probability
34%
Yes 34%
+66 / −34
No 66%
+34 / −66
Carlos Bolsonaro
30% market probability
30%
Yes 30%
+70 / −30
No 70%
+30 / −70
Carol de Toni
27% market probability
27%
Yes 27%
+73 / −27
No 73%
+27 / −73
Carol
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Décio Lima
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Lunelli
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Marcos Dorval
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Marlene Soccas
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Afrânio Boppré
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Jeferson da Rocha
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Joaninha de Oliveira
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Public forecast history
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