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Polymarket
Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 1st Place
Top outcomes
Benedita da Silva
58%
Other
50%
Candidate A
50%
Candidate B
50%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
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Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$33.8k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$34K Vol.
Benedita da Silva
58% market probability
58%
Yes 58%
+42 / −58
No 42%
+58 / −42
Other
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate A
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate B
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate C
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate D
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate E
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate F
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate G
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate H
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate I
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate J
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate K
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate L
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate M
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate N
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate O
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate P
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate Q
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate R
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate S
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate T
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate U
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate V
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate W
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate X
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate Y
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate Z
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Carlos Jordy
22% market probability
22%
Yes 22%
+78 / −22
No 78%
+22 / −78
Marcelo Crivella
11% market probability
11%
Yes 11%
+89 / −11
No 89%
+11 / −89
Carlos Portinho
6% market probability
6%
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
No 94%
+6 / −94
Pedro Paulo
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Ó Clemente
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Waguinho
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Helio Secco
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Marcos Dias
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Luiz Eugenio
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Paula Falcão
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Luciano Mattos
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Monica Benicio
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
André Monteiro
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Michelly Xavier
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Vinicius Benevides
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Public forecast history
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