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Polymarket
Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner
Top outcomes
Justin Herbert
12%
Drake Maye
10%
Josh Allen
10%
Joe Burrow
10%
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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$593K Vol.
Closes Feb 15, 2027
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$592.9k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$593K Vol.
Justin Herbert
12% market probability
12%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 12%
+88 / −12
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 88%
+12 / −88
Drake Maye
10% market probability
10%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 90%
+10 / −90
Explain your Yes on Drake Maye
Explain your No on Drake Maye
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Josh Allen
10% market probability
10%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 90%
+10 / −90
Explain your Yes on Josh Allen
Explain your No on Josh Allen
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Joe Burrow
10% market probability
10%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 90%
+10 / −90
Explain your Yes on Joe Burrow
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Lamar Jackson
10% market probability
10%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 90%
+10 / −90
Explain your Yes on Lamar Jackson
Explain your No on Lamar Jackson
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Dak Prescott
9% market probability
9%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 9%
+91 / −9
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 91%
+9 / −91
Explain your Yes on Dak Prescott
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Caleb Williams
9% market probability
9%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 9%
+91 / −9
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 91%
+9 / −91
Explain your Yes on Caleb Williams
Explain your No on Caleb Williams
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Patrick Mahomes
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on Patrick Mahomes
Explain your No on Patrick Mahomes
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Matthew Stafford
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Matthew Stafford
Explain your No on Matthew Stafford
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Brock Purdy
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Brock Purdy
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Jalen Hurts
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Jalen Hurts
Explain your No on Jalen Hurts
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Trevor Lawrence
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Trevor Lawrence
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Jordan Love
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Jordan Love
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Bo Nix
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Bo Nix
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Sam Darnold
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Sam Darnold
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Jared Goff
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Jared Goff
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Jahmyr Gibbs
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Jahmyr Gibbs
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Baker Mayfield
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Baker Mayfield
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Jaxson Dart
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Jaxson Dart
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Saquon Barkley
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Saquon Barkley
Explain your No on Saquon Barkley
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Bijan Robinson
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Bijan Robinson
Explain your No on Bijan Robinson
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Christian McCaffrey
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Christian McCaffrey
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Jaxson Smith-Njigba
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Jaxson Smith-Njigba
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Player J
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Player J
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Puka Nacua
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Puka Nacua
Explain your No on Puka Nacua
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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De'Von Achane
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on De'Von Achane
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Derrick Henry
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Derrick Henry
Explain your No on Derrick Henry
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Myles Garrett
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Myles Garrett
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Justin Jefferson
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Justin Jefferson
Explain your No on Justin Jefferson
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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