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Paraná Governor Election Winner
Top outcomes
Sergio Moro
82%
Other
50%
Candidate C
50%
Candidate D
50%
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
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$103K Vol.
Closes Oct 5, 2026
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$102.8k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$103K Vol.
Sergio Moro
82% market probability
82%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 82%
+18 / −82
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 18%
+82 / −18
Other
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Other
Explain your No on Other
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate C
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate C
Explain your No on Candidate C
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate D
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate D
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate E
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate E
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate F
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate F
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate G
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate G
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate H
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate H
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate I
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate I
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate J
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate J
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Sandro Alex
18% market probability
18%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 18%
+82 / −18
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 82%
+18 / −82
Explain your Yes on Sandro Alex
Explain your No on Sandro Alex
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Requião Filho
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Requião Filho
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Guto Silva
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Guto Silva
Explain your No on Guto Silva
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Alexandre Curi
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Alexandre Curi
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Beto Richa
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Beto Richa
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Enio Verri
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Enio Verri
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Luiz França
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Luiz França
Explain your No on Luiz França
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Rafael Greca
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Rafael Greca
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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