Open
Polymarket
NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner
Top outcomes
Adriano Espaillat
66%
Darializa Avila Chevalier
36%
Matt Miller
0%
Oscar Romero
0%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Read more
Show less
$306K Vol.
Closes Jun 23, 2026
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
Open on Polymarket ↗
The chart is view-only. Use Open on Polymarket above to visit the market — no trading on this platform.
$306.4k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$306K Vol.
Adriano Espaillat
66% market probability
66%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 66%
+34 / −66
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 34%
+66 / −34
Darializa Avila Chevalier
36% market probability
36%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 36%
+64 / −36
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 64%
+36 / −64
Explain your Yes on Darializa Avila Chevalier
Explain your No on Darializa Avila Chevalier
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Matt Miller
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Matt Miller
Explain your No on Matt Miller
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Oscar Romero
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Oscar Romero
Explain your No on Oscar Romero
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Jaleel Amador
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Jaleel Amador
Explain your No on Jaleel Amador
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Megan Rodriguez
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Megan Rodriguez
Explain your No on Megan Rodriguez
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
James Felton Keith
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on James Felton Keith
Explain your No on James Felton Keith
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Theo Chino-Tavarez
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Theo Chino-Tavarez
Explain your No on Theo Chino-Tavarez
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Public forecast history
All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.
No forecasts yet. Be the first to place one.