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Where will Maxx Crosby play in 2026? Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record? Presidential Election Winner 2028 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban) Epstein client list released by...? MLB World Series Champion 2026 Which party will win the House in 2026? Xi Jinping out before 2027? Trump out as President before 2027? California Governor Election Winner Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...? Trump out as President by June 30? Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Will Neymar play in the World Cup? F1 Drivers' Champion Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
Forecasts closed Polymarket

NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Top outcomes

Claire Valdez 76%
Antonio Reynoso 24%
Julie Won 0%
Sandy Nurse 0%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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$351K Vol. Closed Jun 23, 2026

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$351.2k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$351K Vol.

Claire Valdez

76% market probability

76%
Yes 76% +24 / −76 No 24% +76 / −24

Antonio Reynoso

24% market probability

24%
Yes 24% +76 / −24 No 76% +24 / −76

Julie Won

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Sandy Nurse

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Julia Salazar

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Tiffany Cabán

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Lincoln Restler

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Kristen Gonzalez

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Jennifer Gútierrez

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100
Forecasts are closed because this market is no longer accepting forecasts.

Public forecast history

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TheBagHodler · Verified record
Forecast Claire Valdez · Polymarket 72% · +28/−72

+5 rep if exited now

Pending

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