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Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?
Top outcomes
Wes Streeting
52%
Other
50%
Person A
50%
Person B
50%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Chancellor of the Exchequer will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Chancellor of the Exchequer is appointed, or Rachel Reeves is re-appointed as Chancellor of the Exchequer, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Chancellor in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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$139K Vol.
Closes Dec 31, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$138.8k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$139K Vol.
Wes Streeting
52% market probability
52%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 52%
+48 / −52
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 48%
+52 / −48
Other
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Other
Explain your No on Other
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person A
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person A
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person B
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person C
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person C
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person D
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person E
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person E
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person F
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person G
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person H
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person I
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person J
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person K
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person L
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person M
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person N
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person O
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person O
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person P
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person Q
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person R
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person S
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person T
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person U
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person V
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person V
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person W
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person W
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person X
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person X
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person Y
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person Y
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Person Z
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Person Z
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Ed Miliband
23% market probability
23%
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
Yes 23%
+77 / −23
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
No 77%
+23 / −77
Explain your Yes on Ed Miliband
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Yvette Cooper
16% market probability
16%
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
Yes 16%
+84 / −16
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
No 84%
+16 / −84
Explain your Yes on Yvette Cooper
Explain your No on Yvette Cooper
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Shabana Mahmood
10% market probability
10%
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
No 90%
+10 / −90
Explain your Yes on Shabana Mahmood
Explain your No on Shabana Mahmood
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Darren Jones
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-31']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-31']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Darren Jones
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Pat McFadden
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-32']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-32']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Pat McFadden
Explain your No on Pat McFadden
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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No next Chancellor in 2026
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-33']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-33']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on No next Chancellor in 2026
Explain your No on No next Chancellor in 2026
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Torsten Bell
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-34']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-34']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Torsten Bell
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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