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Polymarket
Next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?
Top outcomes
Other
50%
Person A
50%
Person B
50%
Person C
50%
Parliamentary elections to elect the House of Keys of the Isle of Man are scheduled to take place on September 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chief Minister of the Isle of Man following the 2026 Isle of Man parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Chief Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Chief Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the Isle of Man; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$39.2k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$39K Vol.
Other
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person A
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person B
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person C
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person D
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person E
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person F
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person G
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person H
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person I
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person J
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person K
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person L
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person M
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person N
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person O
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person P
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person Q
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person R
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person S
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person T
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person U
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person V
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person W
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person X
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person Y
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person Z
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Alfred Cannan
34% market probability
34%
Yes 34%
+66 / −34
No 66%
+34 / −66
Chris Thomas
20% market probability
20%
Yes 20%
+80 / −20
No 80%
+20 / −80
Jane Poole-Wilson
19% market probability
19%
Yes 19%
+81 / −19
No 81%
+19 / −81
Rob Callister
5% market probability
5%
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
No 95%
+5 / −95
Lawrie Hooper
4% market probability
4%
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
No 96%
+4 / −96
Alex Allinson
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
Public forecast history
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