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MLB: NL Manager of the Year
Top outcomes
Clayton McCullough
20%
Walt Weiss
20%
Pat Murphy
14%
Oliver Marmol
12%
This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 National League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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$115K Vol.
Closes Dec 19, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$115.5k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$115K Vol.
Clayton McCullough
20% market probability
20%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 20%
+80 / −20
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 80%
+20 / −80
Walt Weiss
20% market probability
20%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 20%
+80 / −20
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 80%
+20 / −80
Explain your Yes on Walt Weiss
Explain your No on Walt Weiss
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Pat Murphy
14% market probability
14%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 14%
+86 / −14
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 86%
+14 / −86
Explain your Yes on Pat Murphy
Explain your No on Pat Murphy
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Oliver Marmol
12% market probability
12%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 12%
+88 / −12
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 88%
+12 / −88
Explain your Yes on Oliver Marmol
Explain your No on Oliver Marmol
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Don Kelly
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Don Kelly
Explain your No on Don Kelly
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Blake Butera
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Blake Butera
Explain your No on Blake Butera
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Craig Counsell
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Craig Counsell
Explain your No on Craig Counsell
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Tony Vitello
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Tony Vitello
Explain your No on Tony Vitello
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Craig Stammen
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Craig Stammen
Explain your No on Craig Stammen
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Torey Lovullo
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Torey Lovullo
Explain your No on Torey Lovullo
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Dave Roberts
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Dave Roberts
Explain your No on Dave Roberts
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Warren Schaeffer
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Warren Schaeffer
Explain your No on Warren Schaeffer
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Terry Francona
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Terry Francona
Explain your No on Terry Francona
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Carlos Mendoza
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Carlos Mendoza
Explain your No on Carlos Mendoza
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Rob Thomson
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Rob Thomson
Explain your No on Rob Thomson
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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